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	<title>Atlanta Short Sales and Foreclosures &#124;Certified Distressed Property Expert &#124; Keller Williams Realty &#187; Short Sales</title>
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		<title>How is the purchase process different between a short sale and foreclosure?</title>
		<link>http://shortsalescentral.com/how-is-the-purchase-process-different-between-a-short-sale-and-foreclosure/</link>
		<comments>http://shortsalescentral.com/how-is-the-purchase-process-different-between-a-short-sale-and-foreclosure/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Sep 2010 16:49:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://shortsalescentral.com/?p=375</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We get a lot of questions about short sales and foreclosures from Atlanta home buyers these days. Here&#8217;s one of the most common. Q: How is the purchase process different between a short sale and foreclosure? A: To give you a little background, in short sale you have multiple parties involved in the transaction. It&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
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<p>We get a lot of questions about short sales and foreclosures from Atlanta home buyers these days. Here&#8217;s one of the most common.</p>
<p>Q: How is the purchase process different between a short sale and foreclosure?</p>
<p>A: To give you a little background, in short sale you have multiple parties involved in the transaction. It&#8217;s not just a buyer and a seller. On the seller side, you&#8217;ll also have one or two lenders, as well as a third party investor and a mortgage insurance company. With so many fingers in the pot, short sales can take several months to complete. Banks are working to improve their systems and personnel, but don&#8217;t expect a traditional 30-day close. The majority of short sales don&#8217;t even involve the lender until they&#8217;ve received a contract from a buyer, which is submitted to the lender(s) along with a hardship package. The lender(s) then need to go through their due diligence process before ever making a decision. Generally, we counsel buyers to expect a minimum of 2-3 months before hearing a decision. Sometimes it&#8217;s quicker and sometimes it&#8217;s slower.</p>
<p>Conversely, the process for purchasing a foreclosure, also known as an REO (real estate owned) property it pretty quick. Typically, we&#8217;ll receive a response with just a couple business days. With a bank-owned property, there&#8217;s just the bank and the buyer involved, so it makes sense that decisions don&#8217;t get hung up for a long period of time. In addition, with a foreclosure, the bank has already done their pricing analysis prior to putting it on the market, so once they have an offer, they&#8217;re ready to make a decision.</p>
<p>In both cases, there are great opportunities available for the savvy Atlanta home buyer and patience and flexibility are key to ensuring you&#8217;ve found the right property and can wait for the decision.</p>
<p>We specializing in counseling buyers on the advantages and disadvantages of buying short sales and foreclosures. <a title="Contact your Atlanta Short Sale Expert" href="http://shortsalescentral.com/contact-us/"><strong>Contact us</strong> </a>today to see how we can help navigate you through the short sale and foreclosure home buying process and find you a great home at a great price.</p>


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		<title>One in Seven Homeowners is Past Due on their Mortgage or in Foreclosure</title>
		<link>http://shortsalescentral.com/one-in-seven-homeowners-is-past-due-on-their-mortgage-or-in-foreclosure/</link>
		<comments>http://shortsalescentral.com/one-in-seven-homeowners-is-past-due-on-their-mortgage-or-in-foreclosure/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Aug 2010 12:41:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Loan Modification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Loan Modifications]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[According to the State Foreclosure Prevention Working Group&#8217;s latest report on home loan delinquencies, we have seen an improvement in loan modifications not becoming delinquent within the following six months. Loans modified in 2009 are 40 to 50 percent (40% &#8211; 50%) less likely to be seriously delinquent six months after modification than loans modified at [...]]]></description>
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<p>According to the State Foreclosure Prevention Working Group&#8217;s latest report on home loan delinquencies, we have seen an improvement in loan modifications not becoming delinquent within the following six months. Loans modified in 2009 are 40 to 50 percent (40% &#8211; 50%) less likely to be seriously delinquent six months after modification than loans modified at the same time in 2008. In addition, recent modifications that significantly reduce the principal balance of the loan have a lower rate of redefault compared to loan modifications overall.</p>
<p>Finally, while loan modifications have consistently increased over time, the numbers of foreclosures continue to outpace loan modifications. Nearly three years into the foreclosure crisis, the report finds that more than 60% of homeowners with serious delinquent loans are still not involved in any loss mitigation activity. With the significant overhang of seriously delinquent loans, they anticipate hundreds of thousands of foreclosures will occur later this year absent additional improvements in foreclosure prevention efforts.</p>
<p>According to the Mortgage Bankers Association&#8217;s latest report on home loan delinquencies, one in seven homeowners is past due on their mortgage or in foreclosure.  The report shows that mortgage delinquencies rose during the second quarter, and overall, one in seven borrowers is delinquent or in foreclosure. That&#8217;s up from one in eight a year ago and one in 11 two years ago. Although there was a dip in the share of homes in foreclosure, the report shows that the foreclosure epidemic continues, with millions of homes still at risk.</p>
<p>If you are at risk of foreclosure, <a title="Contact your Atlanta Distressed Property Expert" href="http://shortsalescentral.com/contact-us/"><strong>contact us today</strong> </a>to see what your options are because procrastination is certainly not one of them. Loan modifications are a possibility to keep you in your home and if you don&#8217;t qualify for a loan modification, we can talk to you about the benefits of a short sale rather than losing your home to foreclosure and the destructive impact foreclosures have on your life.</p>


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		<title>Homebuyer Tax Credit Extended</title>
		<link>http://shortsalescentral.com/homebuyer-tax-credit-extended/</link>
		<comments>http://shortsalescentral.com/homebuyer-tax-credit-extended/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jul 2010 03:44:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$6500 Homebuyer Tax Credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$8000 First Time Homebuyer Tax Credit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://shortsalescentral.com/?p=366</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Homebuyer Tax Credit Extended Atlanta home buyers, you may yet get that homebuyer tax credit. Late today, the Senate passed a bill to extend the $8,000 homebuyer tax credit until September 30th. It now goes to President Obama, who is expected to sign the bill. The bill was overwhelmingly approved by the House on Tuesday. The deadline [...]]]></description>
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<h4>Homebuyer Tax Credit Extended</h4>
<p>Atlanta home buyers, you may yet get that homebuyer tax credit. Late today, the Senate passed a bill to extend the $8,000 homebuyer tax credit until September 30th. It now goes to President Obama, who is expected to sign the bill. The bill was overwhelmingly approved by the House on Tuesday. The deadline had been June 30th to close on the property.</p>
<p>Before you get too excited, the bill doesn&#8217;t help anyone currently shopping for a home. Buyers must have signed a contract by April 30th to qualify for the tax break. At issue is when the deal must be finalized.</p>
<p>Repeat home buyers also have until September 30th to close on new homes and receive a tax credit of up to $6,500.</p>
<p>Congress has been trying to pass the extension for the last month, but it got caught up in the usual Washington politics. The extension is estimated to raise the deficit by $9 million.</p>
<p>An estimated 200,000 people have missed out on the tax credit because they wouldn&#8217;t have been able to close by the end of business Wednesday. Many are trying to take advantage of short sales, which are complicated deals to complete. We specialize in Atlanta short sales and foreclosures and fortunately all of our clients who were under contract by April 30th were able to close without need of the tax credit extension. Our short sale team are experts in navigating the Atlanta short sale minefield and helping our clients find some great homes at significant discounts.</p>
<p><strong><a title="Contact your Atlanta Real Esate Expert" href="mailto:aaron@h2realty.com">Contact us</a></strong> for all of your Atlanta short sale and distressed property needs. We are local market experts and continue to find great deals for our clients.</p>


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		<title>Short Sales and Homebuyer Tax Credit</title>
		<link>http://shortsalescentral.com/atlanta-short-sales-and-homebuyer-tax-credit/</link>
		<comments>http://shortsalescentral.com/atlanta-short-sales-and-homebuyer-tax-credit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Apr 2010 15:15:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$6500 Homebuyer Tax Credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[$8000 First Time Homebuyer Tax Credit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://shortsalescentral.com/?p=359</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You may be in the market and wanting to take advantage of the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit or the $6,500 repeat homebuyer tax credit and have heard the horror stories about short sales and how long they can take to complete. With the tax credit deadline looming at the end of the month, it&#8217;s a natural [...]]]></description>
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<p>You may be in the market and wanting to take advantage of the <strong>$8,000 first-time homebuyer</strong> <strong>tax credit </strong>or the <strong>$6,500 repeat homebuyer tax credit</strong> and have heard the horror stories about short sales and how long they can take to complete.</p>
<p>With the tax credit deadline looming at the end of the month, it&#8217;s a natural reaction to think that you should exclude short sales from your options.</p>
<p>But, don&#8217;t jump to conclusions.</p>
<p>Keep in mind that there are numerous short sale homes currently available that have been approved by the lender(s), but where the initial buyer had walked away for some reason. The ability to step in to an approved short sale at the last minute eliminates the wait.</p>
<p>So don&#8217;t eliminate short sales for this reason, just make sure your Atlanta Realtor specializes in short sales and does a little more due diligence to determine the status of the short sale. Our team has identified lots of good opportunities with approved short sales just waiting on new buyers over the last couple days.</p>
<p> The other reason why you shouldn&#8217;t exclude short sales is simply that many short sales are simply better financial deals. You may not get $8,000 in your pocket, but you may be able to buy your new home at a substantial discount that will be worth much more than $8,000.</p>
<p>We maintain a list of the best Atlanta short sales, so be sure to <strong><a title="Contact your Atlanta Short Sale Expert" href="mailto:aaron@h2realty.com">contact us</a></strong> if you&#8217;re interested in buying a new home and looking for a great opportunity.</p>
<p>We also have an on-staff CPA to answer all your questions about the tax credit and help you understand whether you qualify for the <strong>$8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit</strong> or the <strong>$6,500 repeat homebuyer tax credit</strong>. Sometimes it&#8217;s surprising to find home buyers that don&#8217;t realize that they can take advantage of the tax credit.</p>
<p><a title="Contact your Atlanta Short Sale Expert" href="mailto:aaron@h2realty.com"><strong>Contact us</strong></a> today to schedule your complimentary homebuyer consultation.</p>


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		<title>How a Short Sale Realtor Can Stop Atlanta Foreclosures</title>
		<link>http://shortsalescentral.com/how-a-short-sale-realtor-can-stop-atlanta-foreclosures/</link>
		<comments>http://shortsalescentral.com/how-a-short-sale-realtor-can-stop-atlanta-foreclosures/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Apr 2010 17:55:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://shortsalescentral.com/?p=353</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Foreclosures are continuing to be a pressing issue around the country as well as in Atlanta Georgia. A homeowner who has stopped making their mortgage payments is at risk of their home being foreclosed. There are options for Atlanta homeowners, but often a short sale is teh only viable option. It&#8217;s always stressful enough when [...]]]></description>
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			<a href="http://api.tweetmeme.com/share?url=http%3A%2F%2Fshortsalescentral.com%2Fhow-a-short-sale-realtor-can-stop-atlanta-foreclosures%2F"><br />
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<p>Foreclosures are continuing to be a pressing issue around the country as well as in Atlanta Georgia. A homeowner who has stopped making their mortgage payments is at risk of their home being foreclosed. There are options for Atlanta homeowners, but often a short sale is teh only viable option.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s always stressful enough when you are having financial difficulties, but the unknowns of how one does a short sale does not need to add stress to your life. It’s always important to hire a short sale Realtor who is knowledgeable of the process and has successfully negotiated short sales..</p>
<p>Realtors who are experts in short sales can advise you on the proper steps when dealing with the mortgage lienholders. Avoid hiring anyone who has little experience in short selling or who hasn’t been successful in closing a similar deal in the past. Ask the agents about how many deals they have successfully closed in the past.</p>
<p>Always get the help of a Realtor who has the knowledge and experience in short sales. Seeking out a <a title="certified distressed property expert" href="http://shortsalescentral.com/what-is-a-certified-distressed-property-expert/"><strong>Certified Distressed Property Expert</strong> </a>helps to ensure the Realtor has attained critical training related to short sales and foreclosures. The Realtor should be able to explain how things will go from the beginning to the end and keep you informed throughout the whole process.</p>
<p>We speak with many homeowners that are in a similar situation such as yourself. When trying to avoid foreclosure, procrastination is not an answer. It&#8217;s important that you <a title="Contact you Atlanta Certified Distressed Property Expert" href="mailto:aaron@h2realty.com"><strong>contact us</strong> </a>immediately so we can assess your situation and provide you with options based upon our initial assessment. Rest assured, all consultations are held in the highest confidence. We understand that this is a stressful time and we want to ensure that your needs will be addressed in a confident and professional manner.</p>
<p><strong><em>About the Author:</em></strong></p>
<p>Aaron Hofmann is a Certified Distressed Property Expert with Keller Williams Realty in Atlanta. Mr. Hofmann is not only Realtor, but also a CPA, and is expert in dealing with the financial industry and assisting distressed Atlanta homeowners avoid foreclosure.</p>


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		<title>Georgia Ranks Third in Mortgages Past Due</title>
		<link>http://shortsalescentral.com/georgia-ranks-third-in-mortgages-past-due/</link>
		<comments>http://shortsalescentral.com/georgia-ranks-third-in-mortgages-past-due/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Mar 2010 19:25:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Loan Modification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://shortsalescentral.com/?p=348</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Georgia is third in the nation, with 13.5 percent of mortgages one or more payment past due as of December 31st, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association&#8217;s National Delinquency Survey. Florida and Nevada came in at #1 and #2. The MBA said the drop in the 30-day delinquency rate is “a concrete sign” that the [...]]]></description>
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<p>Georgia is third in the nation, with 13.5 percent of mortgages one or more payment past due as of December 31st, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association&#8217;s National Delinquency Survey. Florida and Nevada came in at #1 and #2.</p>
<p>The MBA said the drop in the 30-day delinquency rate is “a concrete sign” that the end of the mortgage crisis may be near. That’s important because mortgages that are 30 days late generally serve as a leading indicator of serious delinquencies and foreclosures.</p>
<p>The U.S. Department of the Treasury recently reported while more than 1 million U.S. homeowners have started the process of modifying their home loans under the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), only 116,000 have actually had their mortgages modified as of last month.</p>
<p>In Georgia, there have been 33,059 active trial loan modifications through January. Of them, 4,508 have been permanently modified.</p>
<p>Atlanta is among the top 15 metro areas for HAMP activity, accounting for 3.2 percent of overall HAMP activity. The city had 30,285 active trial loan modifications through January. Of those, 3,692 were permanently modified.</p>
<p>If you or someone you is having financial issues and concerned about foreclosure, contact us for a <a title="Contact your Atlanta Foreclosure Expert" href="../contact-us/"><strong>free report on Avoiding Foreclosure</strong></a>.</p>


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		<title>28% of Georgia Homes with Mortgages are Underwater</title>
		<link>http://shortsalescentral.com/28-percent-of-georgia-homes-with-mortgages-are-underwater/</link>
		<comments>http://shortsalescentral.com/28-percent-of-georgia-homes-with-mortgages-are-underwater/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Mar 2010 18:02:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[negative equity]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[That&#8217;s right, 28%. Not a good number. More than 441,500, or 28 percent, of all residential properties with mortgages in Georgia, were in negative equity at the end of the fourth quarter, according to a new report. The report was prepared by Santa Ana, Calif.-based First American CoreLogic Inc., a real estate information company. Negative [...]]]></description>
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<p>That&#8217;s right, 28%. Not a good number.</p>
<p>More than 441,500, or 28 percent, of all residential properties with mortgages in Georgia, were in negative equity at the end of the fourth quarter, according to a new report. The report was prepared by Santa Ana, Calif.-based First American CoreLogic Inc., a real estate information company.</p>
<p>Negative equity, also commonly known as underwater or upside down, means that borrowers owe more on their mortgage than their homes are worth. Negative equity can occur because of a decline in value, an increase in mortgage debt or a combination of both.</p>
<p>More than 11.3 million, or 24 percent, of all residential properties in the United States with mortgages, were in negative equity, up from 10.7 million and 23 percent at the end of the third quarter. The aggregate dollar value of negative equity was $801 billion, up from $746 billion in the third quarter of 2009.</p>
<p>The net increase in the number of negative equity borrowers in the fourth quarter was 620,000, with the largest percentage increases occurring in Nevada, Georgia and Arizona.</p>
<p>&#8220;Negative equity is a significant drag on both the housing market and on economic growth. It is driving foreclosures and decreasing mobility for millions of homeowners,&#8221; said Mark Fleming, chief economist with First American CoreLogic, in a statement.</p>
<p>First American CoreLogic’s data includes 47 million properties with a mortgage, which accounts for more than 85 percent of all mortgages in the United States.</p>
<p>Having negative equity does not mean that your home will be foreclosed, but it does indicate homes that are &#8220;under-water&#8221; and if the homeowner is having financial difficulties, foreclosure proceedings can happen pretty quickly.</p>
<p>If you or someone you is having financial issues and concerned about foreclosure, contact us for a <a title="Contact your Atlanta Foreclosure Expert" href="http://shortsalescentral.com/contact-us/"><strong>free report on Avoiding Foreclosure</strong></a>.</p>


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		<title>Freddie Mac foresees large wave of foreclosures</title>
		<link>http://shortsalescentral.com/freddie-mac-foresees-large-wave-of-foreclosures/</link>
		<comments>http://shortsalescentral.com/freddie-mac-foresees-large-wave-of-foreclosures/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Feb 2010 17:07:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[department of treasury]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freddie mac]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://shortsalescentral.com/?p=333</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Freddie Mac, one of the two big mortgage finance companies taken over by the government, announced earnings today. It reported a net loss of $6.5 billion, which is great compared to a net loss of $23.9 billion in the same quarter a year ago, but a loss is a loss. So we&#8217;re talking semantics when a [...]]]></description>
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<p>Freddie Mac, one of the two big mortgage finance companies taken over by the government, announced earnings today. It reported a net loss of $6.5 billion, which is great compared to a net loss of $23.9 billion in the same quarter a year ago, but a loss is a loss. So we&#8217;re talking semantics when a $6.5 billion loss is an improvement.</p>
<p>For the full year, Freddie Mac posted a $21.6 billion loss, less than half the $50.1 billion in lost in 2008.</p>
<p>Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) says it ended the quarter with a net worth of $4.5 billion and, as a result, did not require additional funding from the Treasury Department. It was the third straight quarter Freddie Mac did not need to tap the Treasury Department&#8217;s lifeline.</p>
<p>But all may not be well in Smallville. Freddie Mac CEO Charles Haldeman Jr. pointed out the risk of a <strong>potential large wave of foreclosures</strong> on the horizon.</p>
<p>The likelilhood of a rise in foreclosures is a very real issue and as loan modifications continue to have almost no impact, the only likely solution will be more short sales. If you find yourself in need of assistance, our team of <strong><a title="certified distressed property expert" href="http://shortsalescentral.com/what-is-a-certified-distressed-property-expert/">Certified Distressed Property Experts</a></strong> are here to assist you. Be sure to <a title="Contact your Atlanta Distressed Property Expert" href="http://shortsalescentral.com/contact-us/"><strong>contact us</strong> </a>for assistance. This is a very real problem and we&#8217;re here to help.</p>


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		<title>Short Sales Expected to Increase Significantly</title>
		<link>http://shortsalescentral.com/short-sales-expected-to-increase-significantly/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Feb 2010 17:35:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Federal and mortgage industry officials are increasingly looking for ways to get distressed borrowers to leave their homes voluntarily, without going through the expensive foreclosure process or a messy eviction. Citigroup, for instance, plans to announce a pilot program on Thursday that would allow delinquent borrowers who don&#8217;t qualify for or decline mortgage relief the [...]]]></description>
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<p>Federal and mortgage industry officials are increasingly looking for ways to get distressed borrowers to leave their homes voluntarily, without going through the expensive foreclosure process or a messy eviction.</p>
<p>Citigroup, for instance, plans to announce a pilot program on Thursday that would allow delinquent borrowers who don&#8217;t qualify for or decline mortgage relief the opportunity to stay in their homes without making payments for up to six months before turning over the keys, in return for keeping the property in good condition.</p>
<p>Other initiatives have also emerged for borrowers likely to lose their homes. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage financing companies, developed programs allowing former homeowners to become renters after a foreclosure or other proceedings.</p>
<p>As part of its federal foreclosure prevention program, known as Making Home Affordable, the Treasury Department announced late last year that lenders would be eligible for $1,000 in exchange for allowing borrowers to sell their home in a short sale.</p>
<p>In such deals, the borrower sells the home for less than the outstanding mortgage, and the lender forgives the difference.</p>
<p>Moody&#8217;s Economy.com has forecast that the number of short sales and transactions in which borrowers surrender their deed in lieu of foreclosure will increase more than 50 percent, to about 490,000, this year. That is just a fraction of the 1.9 million homeowners Moody&#8217;s has forecast will lose their homes to foreclosure this year, up from 1.7 million last year.</p>


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		<title>Credit Suisse Estimates 3.2 million foreclosures must be prevented</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Jan 2010 18:06:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Hofmann</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Loan Modification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Short Sales]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Foreclosure prevention efforts need to become vastly more effective or housing prices will resume their tumble, according to a new report by Credit Suisse analysts. The industry can expect to see either housing stabilization or “a renewed leg down” in the second half of 2010, depending on the success rate of foreclosure prevention efforts, global [...]]]></description>
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<p>Foreclosure prevention efforts need to become vastly more effective or housing prices will resume their tumble, according to a new report by Credit Suisse analysts.</p>
<p>The industry can expect to see either housing stabilization or “a renewed leg down” in the second half of 2010, depending on the success rate of foreclosure prevention efforts, global financial services firm Credit Suisse said in a research note this week.</p>
<p>“We estimate that roughly 3.2m foreclosures must be prevented in 2010 for home prices to stabilize or potentially tick up,” researchers said. “This is an uphill challenge, but a combination of current government programs and their future iterations offer a narrow path for success.”</p>
<p>The report concludes that some 4.2 million homes are currently estimated to be heading into foreclosure next year and that 3.2 million foreclosures in all need to be prevented to stabilize the housing market. For those doing quick math, that comes out to about 75% needing some sort of modification, short sale or other foreclosure prevention solution.</p>
<p>So far, government and private success rates have been nowhere close to that.</p>
<p>About 31,000 homeowners have received permanent relief under the Obama administration&#8217;s mortgage modification program. Part of the administration&#8217;s $75 billion effort, the plan aims to help troubled homeowners modify their mortgages into sustainable monthly payments relative to income. About 700,000 homeowners are enrolled in three-month trials.</p>
<p>The administration said the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) would help three to four million homeowners, but that&#8217;s their goal through 2012. A government watchdog has publicly questioned numerous times whether that&#8217;s achievable, given the performance to date and the plan&#8217;s design. For example, the plan requires that homeowners have an income. With 10 percent unemployment, many experts have questioned whether the program can help the unemployed stay in their homes.</p>
<p>&#8220;Current performance statistics on HAMP are quite disappointing in the above context,&#8221; the Credit Suisse report notes. &#8220;However, multiple rounds of government attempts to achieve foreclosure prevention for those who fall through trial mods are likely to keep volume of foreclosure sales under check.&#8221;</p>
<p>The analysts argue that there are early signs of recovery. Thanks to a decline in foreclosure sales from their winter highs, the homebuyers tax credit, and &#8220;record high affordability levels,&#8221; housing prices have begun to stabilize.</p>
<p>But for a recovery to take hold next year, foreclosure sales will have to decrease even more. The analysts note that if foreclosure sales represent some 25-30 percent of all home sales next year, a decline from current levels, then home prices could see an uptick.</p>
<p>&#8220;We anticipate multiple rounds of government attempts to achieve foreclosure prevention for those who fall through trial mods by lowering the bar or directing them towards alternative foreclosure prevention programs,&#8221; they wrote.</p>
<p>Underscoring the importance of preventing foreclosures, the Credit Suisse report notes: &#8220;Home price stabilization has primarily resulted from decline in share of foreclosure sales.&#8221;</p>
<p>If those start to creep up, this year&#8217;s gains in stabilizing the housing market could evaporate.</p>


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